The independent Scott Alexander archive

Scott Alexander, collected.

Essays, arguments, and unexpected connections. An independent archive of Slate Star Codex, Astral Codex Ten, and LessWrong.

The collection

2,007 essays

The Extinction Tournament

Scott Alexander analyzes the surprisingly low existential risk estimates from a recent forecasting tournament, particularly for AI risk, and explains why he only partially updates his own higher estimates.

28 min read 4,212 words

Links For July 2023

A diverse collection of links and news items from July 2023, covering topics from historical curiosities to current technological and social developments.

24 min read 3,581 words

Tales Of Takeover In CCF-World

Scott Alexander discusses various scenarios of AI takeover based on the Compute-Centric Framework, exploring gradual power shifts and potential conflicts between humans and AI factions.

29 min read 4,363 words

Davidson On Takeoff Speeds

Scott Alexander reviews Tom Davidson's model predicting AI will progress from automating 20% of jobs to superintelligence in about 4 years, discussing its implications and comparisons to other AI forecasts.

41 min read 6,222 words
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