ACX
Mantic Monday 3/21/22
Scott Alexander updates readers on Ukraine war predictions, Insight Prediction's challenges, ACX 2022 Prediction Contest results, and various prediction market developments.
15 min read 2,282 words
A thread through the archive
Ukraine war
Essays tagged “Ukraine war”. Follow an idea across the archive.
Essays on Ukraine war
4 essaysACX
Mantic Monday 3/14/22
Scott analyzes Ukraine prediction markets, nuclear war risk forecasts, and compares forecasters to experts, along with various updates on prediction platforms.
16 min read 2,456 words
ACX
Ukraine Thoughts And Links
Scott Alexander analyzes the Ukraine conflict, discussing international norms, risks of escalation, and Western responses, while providing various related links and resources.
30 min read 4,611 words
ACX
Ukraine Warcasting
Scott Alexander evaluates predictions about the Russia-Ukraine war, analyzing the performance of prediction markets and individual pundits.
53 min read 8,064 words