ACX
MR Tries The Safe Uncertainty Fallacy
Scott Alexander critiques Tyler Cowen's use of the 'Safe Uncertainty Fallacy' in discussing AI risk, arguing that uncertainty doesn't justify complacency.
14 min read 2,052 words
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base rates
Essays tagged “base rates”. Follow an idea across the archive.
Essays on base rates
2 essaysSSC
Psychotropic Base Rates: The Argument From Antibiotics
Scott explores how antibiotics and antiprotozoal drugs unexpectedly affect mental health, suggesting that random chemicals may frequently influence mental processes.
4 min read 614 words