ACX
Contra DeBoer On Temporal Copernicanism
Scott Alexander refutes Freddie deBoer's argument against expecting major events in our lifetimes, presenting a more nuanced approach to estimating such probabilities.
16 min read 2,425 words
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anthropic reasoning
Essays tagged “anthropic reasoning”. Follow an idea across the archive.
Essays on anthropic reasoning
3 essaysACX
Interview Day At Thiel Capital
Scott Alexander presents a series of satirical job interviews at Thiel Capital, where candidates share increasingly absurd unpopular beliefs, highlighting the nature of conspiracy theories and contrarian thinking.
16 min read 2,459 words
LW
It's not like anything to be a bat
Scott presents an anthropic argument suggesting animals might lack subjective experience, based on the observation that if animals were conscious, we would statistically be much more likely to be animals than humans.
5 min read 682 words