ACX
Prediction Markets Suggest Replacing Biden
Scott Alexander examines prediction markets suggesting that replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee could significantly improve the party's chances in the 2024 election.
31 min read 4,750 words
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elections
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Essays on elections
2 essaysSSC
Change Minds Or Drive Turnout?
Scott examines claims that political parties should focus on base turnout rather than appealing to moderates, finding evidence that extreme candidates decrease turnout and swing voters matter.
16 min read 2,381 words