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Mantic Monday: Twitter Chaos Edition
Scott Alexander analyzes prediction markets on Twitter, FTX, effective altruism, and US midterms, discussing their accuracy and exploring the concept of 'scandal markets'.
30 min read 4,529 words
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2022 US midterms
Essays tagged “2022 US midterms”. Follow an idea across the archive.
Essays on 2022 US midterms
3 essaysACX
My California Ballot 2022
Scott Alexander reviews and explains his votes on California's 2022 ballot propositions and candidates, providing analysis and commentary on each item.
30 min read 4,502 words
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Mantic Monday 10/17/22
Scott Alexander discusses recent developments in prediction markets, including midterm forecasts, legal challenges, nuclear risk assessments, and new market applications.
25 min read 3,862 words