ACX
Mantic Monday 10/17/22
Scott Alexander discusses recent developments in prediction markets, including midterm forecasts, legal challenges, nuclear risk assessments, and new market applications.
25 min read 3,862 words
A thread through the archive
nuclear risk
Essays tagged “nuclear risk”. Follow an idea across the archive.
Essays on nuclear risk
4 essaysACX
Mantic Monday 4/18/22
Scott reviews recent changes in prediction markets covering the Ukraine war, nuclear risk, AI development, and other current events.
15 min read 2,264 words
ACX
Mantic Monday 3/14/22
Scott analyzes Ukraine prediction markets, nuclear war risk forecasts, and compares forecasters to experts, along with various updates on prediction platforms.
16 min read 2,456 words
ACX
Ukraine Thoughts And Links
Scott Alexander analyzes the Ukraine conflict, discussing international norms, risks of escalation, and Western responses, while providing various related links and resources.
30 min read 4,611 words