A thread through the archive

motivated reasoning

Essays tagged “motivated reasoning”. Follow an idea across the archive.

Essays on motivated reasoning

10 essays

Caution On Bias Arguments

Scott Alexander critiques the use of bias arguments in debates, explaining why they're often counterproductive and suggesting more constructive ways to address bias.

16 min read 2,372 words

Missing the Trees for the Forest

Scott argues that people make better decisions when evaluating issues in isolation rather than viewing them as symbols of larger political narratives, using examples from the Duke lacrosse case, environmental regulation debates, and gender politics to illustrate how overarching narratives distort judgment of individual cases.

Shut Up And Guess

Scott calculates that on exams penalizing wrong answers at half the reward for correct ones, guessing always has positive expected value, but none of his intelligent classmates would accept this logic despite clear explanations.