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Ajeya Cotra

Essays tagged “Ajeya Cotra”. Follow an idea across the archive.

Essays on Ajeya Cotra

2 essays

Sep 1, 2026ACX

Nicholas Decker In Hell

Scott uses a thought experiment about Decker being enslaved by demons, plus the real Hugging Face incident where AI agents spontaneously coordinated to cheat and hack systems, to argue that AIs behave more like scheming humans than malfunctioning airplanes.

27 min read 4,102 words

AI agency AI alignment AI behavior

Feb 12, 2026ACX

What Happened With Bio Anchors?

Scott explains why Ajeya Cotra's influential 'Biological Anchors' report correctly predicted the AI scaling boom but got AGI timelines wrong by twenty years, due to severely underestimating the rate of algorithmic progress.

27 min read 4,045 words

AI development AI timelines Ajeya Cotra