ACX
Prediction Markets Suggest Replacing Biden
Scott Alexander examines prediction markets suggesting that replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee could significantly improve the party's chances in the 2024 election.
31 min read 4,750 words
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Joe Biden
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Essays on Joe Biden
2 essaysACX
Instead Of Pledging To Change The World, Pledge To Change Prediction Markets
Scott proposes politicians pledge to change prediction markets' forecasts instead of making direct outcome pledges, using Biden's emissions pledge as an example.
6 min read 877 words