ACX
Mantic Monday 2/19/24
Scott Alexander explores recent advancements in AI-powered prediction markets, including bot-based systems, AI forecasters, and their potential impact on future predictions and decision-making.
25 min read 3,851 words
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Manifold
Essays tagged “Manifold”. Follow an idea across the archive.
Essays on Manifold
4 essaysACX
Mantic Monday 12/4/23
The post discusses recent developments in prediction markets, including challenges in market design, updates to forecasting platforms, and current market predictions on various topics.
31 min read 4,770 words
ACX
Mantic Monday 5/22/23
Scott Alexander discusses recent events in prediction markets, including a costly prank on Manifold, debt ceiling forecasts, a study on long-term predictions, and a high-profile hyperinflation bet.
29 min read 4,451 words
ACX
Play Money And Reputation Systems
Scott analyzes play money and reputation systems in prediction markets, discussing their designs, challenges, and potential improvements.
17 min read 2,522 words