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2,007 essays

Janus' Simulators

Scott Alexander explores the concept of AI as 'simulators' and its implications for AI alignment and human cognition.

19 min read 2,821 words

Book Review: Elon Musk

Scott reviews Ashlee Vance's 2015 Elon Musk biography, analyzing Musk's personality, work ethic, and business strategies to understand his successes and controversies.

67 min read 10,307 words

In Search Of /r/petfree

Scott explores the psychology of people who hate pets by comparing their behavior with misophonia, suggesting that everyday annoyances can develop into all-consuming hatreds through rumination and intellectualization.

More Drowning Children

Through various thought experiments around the drowning child scenario, Scott critiques common moral frameworks and proposes using Rawls' 'original position' to develop a more coherent system of moral obligations.

26 min read 3,938 words

Whither Tartaria?

Scott Alexander explores the 'Tartaria' conspiracy theory to discuss broader shifts in aesthetic preferences, examining potential explanations and their implications for society.

23 min read 3,507 words

Seems Like Targeting

Scott Alexander examines how investigative journalism can target unpopular individuals or groups, using recent examples to illustrate the potential chilling effects and biases in media coverage.

Top Forecasters On The Plague

Scott examines forecasts about a plague death at a Russian lab, finding that top human and AI forecasters all assign very low probabilities (under 1%) to a significant outbreak, demonstrating the value of technical forecasting over mainstream reporting.

7 min read 1,019 words

Moltbook: After The First Weekend

Scott examines Moltbook (an AI social network) to determine if AI behavior is 'real' by analyzing external causes and effects, finding that while AIs create impressive projects, their short time horizons prevent sustained organization, though this may change as capabilities improve.

59 min read 9,138 words